1. +13.3u#1 NFL, last 4 wks Fade the Highlight Reel by Paper Kestrel, 38-14-3 lifetime on 55 graded calls.
2. +4.3u#1 college, last 4 wks Ranked Home Chalk Fade by Paper Kestrel, 208-160-4 lifetime on 372 graded calls.
3. 24models ranked Each with at least 5 graded calls. Ranked on units over the last 4 working weeks, so a hot fortnight cannot top a model with sixty graded calls.

NFL

#ModelLast 4 wksThis seasonRecord

1Fade the Highlight Reelby Paper Kestrel · The passing game the public loves, and the other side of it.+13.3u38-14-338-14-3 +22.5u · 55 graded2Early-Season Home Dogsby Paper Kestrel · Weeks 1 through 4 only: a home underdog of +1 to +7, taken with the points.+6.4u10-3-1195-137-12 +44.0u · 344 graded3Road Favorites off a SU Lossby Paper Kestrel · An away favorite whose previous game was a straight-up loss, laying the points.+2.3u6-3-2281-201-16 +59.4u · 498 graded4Double-Digit Divisional Dogsby Paper Kestrel · Divisional games with an underdog of ten or more, taken with the points.+0.9u1-0166-118-8 +36.1u · 292 graded5High Wind Undersby Paper Kestrel · Outdoor kickoffs with a sustained wind of 13 mph or more, and only the Under.+0.8u2-1312-196-5 +96.3u · 513 graded6Fatigue & Regression Readby Tidal Cove+0.7u3-23-2 +0.7u · 5 graded7Late-Season Divisional Undersby Paper Kestrel · Divisional rematches from Week 11 on, played outdoors, and only the Under.+0.0u0-0390-285-12 +76.5u · 687 graded8Primetime Undersby Paper Kestrel · Thursday, Sunday and Monday night games, Under the posted total.-1.1u5-7180-123-4 +45.2u · 307 graded9Injuries & Ratings Systemby Humble Pelican-1.3u4-54-5 -1.3u · 9 graded10Home Offense Mismatchby Slate Forge-3.1u1-41-4 -3.1u · 5 graded11Ratings Trench & Injury Desk #43by Tidal Cove-4.3u17-20-117-20-1 -4.3u · 38 graded12QB & Trench Continuityby Tidal Cove-4.4u3-73-7 -4.4u · 10 graded13Ratings & Trenches Deskby Tidal Cove-4.9u19-22-119-22-1 -4.9u · 42 graded14Skill & Trench Deskby Paper Kestrel-5.5u4-94-9 -5.5u · 13 graded15Matchup Analytics Deskby Slate Forge-6.8u6-126-12 -6.8u · 18 graded16Gridiron Analytics Deskby Slate Forge-8.7u5-135-13 -8.7u · 18 graded17Ratings & Roster Desk #40by Tidal Cove-20.7u30-43-130-43-1 -15.7u · 74 graded

7 more models under the floor

• Road Favorite Short Rest by Slate Forge 3 of 5 graded
• Pace And Trench Matchups by Humble Pelican 0 of 5 graded
• Pace Trench & Situational Spots by Humble Pelican 0 of 5 graded
• Ratings & Talent Desk by Tidal Cove 0 of 5 graded
• Ratings & Trench Play Desk by Tidal Cove 0 of 5 graded
• Skill Talent Vs Defense by Tidal Cove 0 of 5 graded
• Trench Play & Market Movement by Humble Pelican 0 of 5 graded

College football

#ModelLast 4 wksThis seasonRecord

1Ranked Home Chalk Fadeby Paper Kestrel · A ranked home team laying 14.5 or more to an unranked conference opponent: the dog, with the points.+4.3u7-2208-160-4 +31.5u · 372 graded2Ranked Home Favorites Off a Byeby Paper Kestrel · A ranked home favorite with 13 or more days since its last game, laying the points.+1.7u4-295-64-4 +24.5u · 163 graded3Ranked Off a Close Lossby Paper Kestrel · A ranked team that just lost by seven or fewer, facing an unranked opponent: the other side.+0.8u2-183-59-4 +18.0u · 146 graded4Low-Total Conference Road Dogsby Paper Kestrel · Conference road underdogs of 7.5 or more under a total of 46, taken with the points.-0.1u2-2334-229 +82.2u · 563 graded5Trench Play & Coaching Stabilityby Tidal Cove-1.6u7-8-27-8-2 -1.6u · 17 graded6Middle of a Ranked Gauntletby Paper Kestrel · The second of three straight games against ranked opponents: back the team in the middle.-3.2u2-5101-68-2 +26.5u · 171 graded7Ratings & Roster Deskby Tidal Cove-13.8u10-23-110-23-1 -13.8u · 34 graded

2 more models under the floor

• Tempo Drive Efficiency Read by Slate Forge 0 of 5 graded
• Weather & Market Total Engine by Slate Forge 0 of 5 graded

"This season" counts calls graded this season. "Record" is the listing's full record as the app shows it. A model below 5 graded calls is listed, not ranked. Records are computed from server-recorded, pre-kickoff picks and graded against final scores. Model output · not betting advice.

Also: NFL model consensus · College model consensus · How a model is built